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Fantasy Take:
The New York Mets
by Jonathan Leshanski
January 26, 2005
Fantasy Take: The New York Mets 2006
Its hard not to like Mets players on your fantasy team. Outside
of the second base and left field positions every player on the field
should benefit from both their innate skills and the presence of a good
offense in front of them as well as behind them. Expect good RBI and run
totals from most offensive players and good win totals from the pitching
staff.
The Top Tier
Pedro Martinez (SP) - The ace of the Mets staff showed that he
still had the magic. While his win total (15) was disappointing the rest
of the numbers were vintage Pedro (2.82 ERA, 208 Ks and 4 complete games).
This year hell have a better offense and a better bullpen to push
those win totals up by a few games. The only issue with him might be health.
Billy Wagner (CL) - Provided Wagner can stay healthy the Mets should
offer him plenty of chances to rack up saves. The only thing besides his
elbow that fantasy owner should be afraid of is that the Mets might win
by more than three runs every game.
Carlos Beltran (OF) - Sure Carlos disappointed a lot of fantasy
owner last year, and he may never hit 30 home runs again but a 20-30 season
is real possibility and there arent too many players who can do
that. Having Carlos Delgado behind him should get him better pitches to
hit and should result in him scoring more runs.
The Second Tier - the first three guys on this tier could be
ranked in the First Tier in National League only formats.
David Wright (3B) - David had a monster season last year and only
his youth and lack of a track record keep him from being an elite third
basemen in mixed leagues. In a National League only format he has to be
considered elite, despite the fact that last season was his first full
season in the majors. In any case his 5 category performance (.306-27-102,
99 runs scored and 19 steals) will make him a hot commodity in drafts
this season.
Carlos Delgado (1B) - Ok, hes not an elite option at first
base anymore but hes at the top rung of the second tier and still
one of the best in the National League. Shea Stadium will decrease his
numbers somewhat but hes in good company and could easily.
Jose Reyes (SS) - Jose had a great season last year if you can
ignore his terrible OBP and focus on his 60 SB and 99 runs scored. He
coupled this with a respectable .273 batting average and 7 home runs.
Hes still only 22 years old so improvement is a good possibility
but he could also hit few rough spots. Learning how to take a walk wouldnt
hurt him and could elevate him into the elite ranks.
Cliff Floyd (OF) - Floyd stayed healthy last year and he finally
produced a season like the Mets had been hoping for (.273-34-98 with 12
steals). Hell be in a better RBI position this year and will have
better protection too - so if the health lasts hes an excellent
choice in the second tier of outfielders.
Paul LoDuca (C) - LoDuca wont provide a lot of power and
his defensive skills count for nothing in most types of fantasy ball but
hell continue to hit for average, score some runs and get some good
RBIs. It should be more than most catchers get, and should surpass his
totals from last year. You might downgrade him in mixed leagues.
The Third Tier
Steve Trachsel (SP) - After missing most of last season with an injury
the Mets most consistant starter should be back in the saddle for the
whole season. Pencil him in for a 12-15 win season a ~4.00 ERA and 120
ks. This should take some of the pressure of Tom Glavine, who had his
best season as a Met last season.
Aaron Heilman (SP) - Heilman largely worked from the bullpen last
season but he pitched well enough that the Mets want to make room for
him in the rotation. He could be a real surprise and should be at least
a fourth starter in most drafts.
Tom Glavine (SP) - Hes no Tom Seaver at this point in his career,
but the Mets havent asked him to be that good. He pitched well last
season (13 wins, 3.53 ERA and 105 Ks) which was good enough to make
him the number two man in the rotation. This year with a healthy Steve
Trachsel in the rotation the pressure should be off and all the extra
run support could easily make him a 15-17 game winner.
Question Marks:
Victor Zambrano (SP) - After another disappointing showing and chronic
elbow issues Mets fans are a little unhappy with Zambrano but hes
a pitcher with plenty of upside - especially if hes healthy. An
across the board improvement could be in order and he could step up to
the ranks of number two or three pitchers, but hes by no means a
sure thing.
Jorge Julio/Chad Bradford (RP) - These are the two most likely
candidates to step in as closer if Billy Wagner goes down with an injury.
Either way a few closes will probably end up on their ledgers.
Xavier Nady (OF) - Nady hasnt proven much in his time in
the major leagues but this former first round draft pick was stuck playing
in the hitter unfriendly PETCO park with a weak offense all around him.
Playing in New York will be a different kind of pressure but here hell
face lower expectations and wont be asked to do as much. Maybe that
and the intensity of the city will help him bloom.
Anderson Hernandez (IF): This is the guy the Mets would likely
turn to if they decide to end the Kaz Matsui experiment and dont
look to acquire someone else by trade. Hernandez is a 23 year old who
has raised a few eyebrows in the organization while playing shortstop.
Last year between AA and AAA he went .314-9-54 with 80 runs scored and
35 steals. Watch for him in spring training and expect a few rough spots
if he gets the job, but he could turn into a very good find if given a
chance. |
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