|Fantasy Baseball: Be Cautious with Slumps||| Print ||
Written by Jonathan Leshanski (Contact & Archive) on April 17, 2011
Two weeks into the fantasy season team owners are already beginning to panic.¬† Now that might be warranted if Josh Hamilton and Chase Utley were the cornerstones of the team you drafted, but for most of us it's a bit of an overreaction.¬† Gauging just where your team stands, and how you'll finish up takes more than just two weeks.
Yet every season at just about this time, owners of fantasy teams start making ill thought out moves, basing their decisions upon the first two weeks' worth of performance and media driven frenzy predicting which player is going to emerge as the big star this year.
You don't want to be that guy.¬† For you this is the time of year to be calm, cool, collected and an opportunist, jumping on the mistaken drops of others -- and even inducing them to make more.
Your draft sheets will come in handy here, especially if you used a tier drafting system so you can quickly assess if a player dropped comes from a better tier than someone you have on your bench.¬† That sometimes takes a minor leap of faith since players who get dropped this early are probably struggling significantly.¬† When it comes to proven players that often means not only do you get the player and you've missed their coldest streak of the season.
That's not to say that there isn't risk in picking up those players, especially if they are young players, older veterans or coming off injury.¬† The chance for an off-season or a failure to develop/heal definitely exists, but statistically an established player usually puts up numbers very close to their historical three-year average and that's a very useful thing to know when assessing if a player on the wire can help your team.
And while you might not find superstars getting cut, you might well find some players who'll add to your team's depth by adding positional versatility or cover holes likely to be opened at some point in the season, since it's fair to project that certain players like Brian Roberts or Geovany Soto will almost certainly have their annual DL stint.
The key point here is not to panic but to keep your head clear and make sound judgments.¬† The season is a long one and the first few weeks mean very little.¬† If you drafted well, trust the horses you picked.¬† They'll for the most part do what you expected them to, but be prepared to be opportunistic if someone else makes a premature condemnation on a player who can help your team.