Wednesday, June 19, 2013

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Cubs have good trade chips to bargain with.

General manager Theo Epstein has pitching to offer and will be looking to grab good prospects....

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Each league features unlikely saves leader

Despite the unlikely circumstances, these two closers are leading their league....

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Indians' bullpen needs to revert to former self

The once reliable back end of the Indians bullpen has suddenly turned for the worst....

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Domonic Brown: after the hype had gone

Brown has become what the Phillies really needed....

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Puig is the new face of Dodgertown

Talk about bursting onto the scene....

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A-Rod - an immovable object.

There was a time when Alex Rodriguez was considered the best player in baseball.  Now he’s essentially a pariah in New York....

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No way Verlander gets voted into Home Run Derby

About a week ago, Verlander said that he would participate in this year’s Home Run Derby if voted in....

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It's time for MLB to hit PED users in the wallets

Finding a penalty severe enough to dissuade PED use is hard....

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Cubs have good trade chips to bargain with.

by Jonathan Leshanski on 18 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Cubs have good trade chips to bargain with.

The trade deadline is approaching, and one of the teams most likely to make some deals are the Chicago Cubs.  General manager Theo Epstein has pitching to offer and will be looking to grab good prospects.  Ideally he’d like those close to major league ready, but he certainly wants to add to the farm system so that when the team is ready to compete they can field a good number of homegrown players as well as having some blue chip type trading assets. Scott Feldman Photo by Scott LaChance816, used under creative commons license. While they probably won’t be trading much in...

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Each league features unlikely saves leader

by Jim Mancari on 17 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Each league features unlikely saves leader

Each league features unlikely saves leaderBy Jim MancariIf you said Mariano Rivera and Jason Grilli would be leading their respective league in saves in mid June before the season started, many people would have thought you were crazy.In any other year, Rivera wouldn’t at all be a stretch, but coming off a torn ACL at the age of 43, it was difficult to predict how he would come back. The Pirates' Jason Grilli Photo by Sports Crazy, used under creative commons license. But Grilli, who had never been a team’s primary closer in his prior 10 seasons, was not even supposed to...

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Indians' bullpen needs to revert to former self

by Zach Shafron on 16 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Indians' bullpen needs to revert to former self

Since the late 2000's, if your baseball team didn't have the lead after the sixth inning against the Cleveland Indians, you could call it a game. The trio of right handed submarine style pitcher Joe Smith, right handed reliever Vinnie Pestano and right handed gunslinger Chris "Pure Rage" Perez have eliminated any sort of rally years in the late innings. Smith would do his thing in the seventh, dazzling Clevelanders with his unusual delivery and realease point making it very difficult for hitters to see the ball off of him. Pestano would attempt to hold to lead in the eighth....

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Domonic Brown: after the hype had gone

by Jonathan Leshanski on 15 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Domonic Brown: after the hype had gone

Three years ago, Domonic Brown wasn’t really ready.  Sure, there was plenty of hype -- he was tagged “a superstar in the making” -- but he was only 23 and had less than 300 ABs at Class AAA.  Nonetheless fans and pundits were looking at a 22 home run season split between AA-AAA and 62 big league at bats.  It didn’t matter that he was over-matched in his big league at bats, hitting just .210 in them.  Everyone saw the .327 average split between AA and AAA. Photo by Rory Connell, used under creative commons license. So 2011 was supposed to...

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Puig is the new face of Dodgertown

by Jim Mancari on 14 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Puig is the new face of Dodgertown

Talk about bursting onto the scene.This famous cliché is always tossed around when a player has a hot start to his career. But to use another cliché, Yasiel Puig takes the cake.Through his first nine games, the Los Angeles Dodgers’ 22-year-old phenom batted .471 with four home runs and 10 RBIs, including a number of clutch hits. He became just the second player since 1900 to hit four home runs in his first five games, with the other being Mike Jacobs of the New York Mets in 2005. Photo by kla4067, used under creative commons license. Puig, who was scratched...

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A-Rod - an immovable object.

by Jonathan Leshanski on 11 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

A-Rod - an immovable object.

There was a time when Alex Rodriguez was considered the best player in baseball.  Now he’s essentially a pariah in New York.  The fans want him gone, the Yankees would like him to be gone.  The problem is they still owe him roughly $114 million dollars, and A-Rod doesn’t want to walk away from that. Photo by Keith Allision, used under creative commons license. And Alex may still be able to play baseball, even still be a very good player.  But at 37 and coming back from hip surgery, he’s not an elite player.  That’s not anything new.  A-Rod hasn’t had...

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No way Verlander gets voted into Home Run Derby

by Jim Mancari on 10 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

No way Verlander gets voted into Home Run Derby

I absolutely love the enthusiasm from one of the game’s best pitchers, but it’s tough to consider any scenario in which Justin Verlander gets voted into the Home Run Derby.About a week ago, Verlander discussed with reporters that he would participate in this year’s Home Run Derby at Citi Field if fans voted him in. He said he could probably hit about three or four home runs and called himself a batting practice hitter. In 24 at-bats this season, not only does he not have a home run, but he also doesn’t even have a hit. Justin Verlander Photo by Keith Allison,...

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It's time for MLB to hit PED users in the wallets

by Jonathan Leshanski on 07 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

It's time for MLB to hit PED users in the wallets

Major League Baseball needs to throw the book at the players associated with the Biogenesis Clinic and to take the offensive once again on the war on PEDs.  Initial reports are that MLB has the paper trail and testimony of disgraced PED pusher Anthony Bosch, giving them enough evidence to suspend perhaps more than 20 MLB players for violating the PED policy even without any of them testing positive. And the powers that be in MLB want punitive damages added to these suspensions due to the players lying about PED use and knowingly gaming the system. Ryan Braun is he the...

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Votto’s lack of power should not cause controversy

by Jim Mancari on 06 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Votto’s lack of power should not cause controversy

Some guys can just never please everybody.Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto has evolved into one of the best hitters in the game today. Yet, he’s recently come under scrutiny for his lack of power hitting.He has just 10 home runs and 28 RBIs this season. During his NL MVP season in 2010, he blasted 37 homers and drove in 113 runs. Photo by Keith Allison, used under creative commons license. But so what if his power numbers are a bit down (though based on games played, he’s still on pace for around 30 home runs this year)? The guy...

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Offense and Injuries leading to down Nats season.

by Jonathan Leshanski on 04 Jun 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Offense and Injuries leading to down Nats season.

Where did it go wrong for the Washington Nationals?  Heading into the season they were heavy favorites not just to win the NL East, but to make a run at the World Series.  Everywhere they were being discussed as possibly the best team in the game.  Fifty-seven games later, they are a game under .500 and seven games behind the division leading Braves. They seem puzzled as to how this could have happened, but the reasons are obvious.  In baseball the reasons often are. Bryce Harper Photo by Keith Allision, used under creative commons...

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Cheers for Manny are telling
Written by At Home Plate Staff (Contact & Archive) on July 04, 2009   

Manny Ramirez returned to the Dodgers' lineup last night after a 50-game suspension, and the response was overwhelming. Fans were actually cheering for him. The road boos Barry Bonds and many others linked to steroid usage just weren't there.

It's sickening to see such a response. Not because Ramirez didn't deserve it, but because it showed those fans are either hypocrites or morons. It's a shame they fall under those labels, but this isn't a false dichotomy.

True baseball fans don't want to see baseball ruined by steroids. We already have the all-time home runs record ruined by steroid usage, as well as the single-season record. And now we have someone suspended for using illegal substances being openly cheered.

True, Ramirez wasn't suspended for anabolic steroids. But he did use something that was illegal according to baseball rules and hinted strongly at steroid usage.

Let's not forget what a clubhouse cancer Ramirez is.

In his final days with the Red Sox, he sat because of injuries MRI scans couldn't bring up. And then he goes on to hit near .400 with the Dodgers, never going on the disabled list or sitting an extended period of time with knee trouble.

If you don't realize it by now, Ramirez was just lying so the Red Sox would trade him. It was part of his ploy to escape the two, $20 million options he had for the next two seasons. This would allow him to renegotiate a new contract.

And that leads us to another point. Ramirez only cares about money. There were reports floating around that he was looking for a four-year deal worth in the neighborhood of $100 million during the 2008 season. And he certainly wasn't going to get that by having the Red Sox exercise those options in his contract. He would've only gotten $40 million. Poor thing.

Ramirez is the perfect example of overpaid, spoiled athlete in that he hustles when he wants to. He's loafed to first base on groundouts countless times. It appears he's made no effort to become a stronger player in the field. Who knows how many boneheaded plays he's made out there?

It's time for the media, the fans and everyone else to keep giving Ramirez second chances and more opportunities. Why not treat him for whom he actually is -- the perfect example of a spoiled, overpaid Major Leaguer who is a cheat?

 
Mets offense reaching desperation stage
Written by At Home Plate Staff (Contact & Archive) on June 21, 2009   

The Mets have struggled to score runs, and it certainly hasn't helped that they've been without Carlos Delgado and Jose Reyes. But then again, it didn't help that they had a few below-average positions offensively to begin with.

Outside of first, short, third and center, didn't the Mets need to desperately upgrade somewhere -- anywhere -- to been seen as legitimate contenders in the National League East? I'm not just talking about Gary Sheffield upgrade but a high-end upgrade.

Bob Klapisch writes the Mets offense has reached code red-stage desperation.

It's an inspiring scenario for Met fans - the bolstered lineup makes a second-half charge straight to the playoffs - but in its current state, Jerry Manuel's team remains mired in mediocrity.

The manager openly wonders about the "fatigue" factor that's wearing on Wright and Carlos Beltran. There's no help in sight, not unless general manager Omar Minaya can pluck, say, Adam Dunn from the Nationals before the trading deadline.

...

But with one crisis extinguished, another one comes roaring to the forefront. How much longer before Wright and Beltran crack from having to carry the lineup?

Beltran, in particular, appears close to breaking down, revealing that he's undergoing an MRI on his right knee Monday. The ramifications are, of course, beyond critical. Manuel says, "Carlos assures me he can play," but you can flip the calendar to 2010 if the center fielder is out for any length of time.

As it is, the Mets' lack of offense is at code red. They're 10th in runs in the National League in June, and tied for last in home runs. Take Beltran out of this equation and there's no reason to believe the Mets won't be caught by the Braves.

A lot of publications, including Sports Illustrated, picked the Mets to go a long way in the postseason. I was a little skeptical about them. I understand their rotation is fronted by Johan Santana, but in a seven-game series, both Oliver Perez and John Maine would likely start two games for them. That shows the lack of depth in their rotation.

But the offense was where things could've gotten messy in a hurry. Luis Castillo has had a bit of a turnaround this season, even if he isn't hitting the ball with authority (.321 slugging percentage). Other than that, the Mets are stocked with mediocre types like Daniel Murphy, Fernando Tatis and Ryan Church taking at-bats.

It seems as if general manager Omar Minaya is in a position to justify his job. The Mets have one of the highest payrolls in baseball, but they have collapsed epically the last two seasons. Their rotation has never been fixed despite the money, and the team still relies on too many spare parts.

 
Boras responds to Ordonez benching
Written by At Home Plate Staff (Contact & Archive) on June 20, 2009   

Scott Boras spoke about Magglio Ordonez's situation in Detroit in a recent piece by Lynn Henning of the Detroit News.

Scott Boras, Ordonez's agent: He began warming up for a possible showdown before the arbitrator when he launched into a 10-minute, phone-line indictment of the Tigers for making a "myopic" decision to sit Ordonez.

"I admit to you that Magglio had a rough April (.240) batting average," Boras said. "But if you want to talk about why his production is down in 2009, it's about one thing and one thing only: His home runs are down by seven. I submit to you that's not compelling information for declaring failure."

Here's what good agents do: They look at some evidence and try to spin things his way.

Yes, Boras in right in saying Ordonez's home runs are down by seven from this point last season. What he failed to mention is that Ordonez only has two home runs this season, as opposed to nine last year. Nine's not a terribly big number and two is even worse, especially for someone hitting in the middle of your order.

But let's dig a little deeper, deeper into the numbers Boras conveniently neglected to mention.

Ordonez's bread-and-butter has been his ability to get on base. His career OBP is .370, which is an excellent figure for a player over a full season by any measure. This year, Ordonez is down to a paltry and barely passable .347 mark.

Now, you'll see players with that figure in the majors all the time. But remember: Ordonez is supposed to be a highly paid, middle-of-the-order bat on a contending club. He's not some No. 7 hitter for the Seattle Mariners. There's a big difference there.

Another number Boras is failing to mention is the precipitous drop in Ordonez's slugging percentage. Last season, it was a quality .494, but it has fallen to .343 this season. That .151-point decline is a huge drop.

Whether or not Ordonez had a huge option on the table, it's no wonder they decided to bench Ordonez. He's a terrible hitter right now. Too bad Boras doesn't realize that.

 
On Harold Reynolds
Written by Adam Adkins (Contact & Archive) on June 19, 2009   

Are you dumb?  I don't mean to be crass, but, well, let's just see what 'HR' said:

"And one of the stats that has become real popular is OPS. On-base plus slugging. All of a sudden, it's this stat that defines whether a guy is a good ball player or not. And the fact of the matter is, if you're a power hitter then the situation will dictate what a pitcher does with you - either walk you or pitch you real careful. So more than likely you're going to end up on base and therefore you On-base percentage goes up. This is my mind has become the stat the everyone thinks is the be all and end all. It is not. If you have a ball club that's a great offensive team then that changes everything. But if you have a guy like Adrian Gonzalez, for example, his OPS is going to high - he's got a lot of home runs and walks a lot...because you're not going to pitch to him!"

Not to curse, but the what the f*ck does that even mean?

So, um, a slugger's OPS will be high, because he hits a lot of homers and draws plenty of walks, and that's because the pitcher won't pitch to the batter?

What the f*ck does that even mean?

Harold, my friend, I guess I thought you were smart because you sat next to this joker, but, as it turns out, you aren't.

Okay, let me help.  You only get on base through hits, walks, or being hit by a pitch.  I guess two out of those three can reasonably be created in the event of a pitcher 'not pitching' to a batter.  But to suggest that home runs come as a result of a pitcher 'not pitching' to a batter is ludicrious.  In fact, Harold, in the event of a home run, it would seem that the pitcher threw a pitch and the batter not only swung, but connected, and the force behind the swing drove the ball far, far away.

But I wouldn't expect you, the one being paid to talk about baseball, to know that.  I mean, talk about high expectations!

P.S.

Did you pass high school English?


Adam writes two pieces a week for AHP and also muses about lots of stuff on his blog.  So, you know, please read it.

 
Sosa failed test in 2003
Written by Bjoern Hartig (Contact & Archive) on June 17, 2009   

And another leak from the 2003 tests: According to the New York Times, Sammy Sosa, then with the Cubs, tested positive for an unknown substance:

The 2003 test that ensnared Sosa was the first such test conducted by Major League Baseball. Under guidelines agreed upon with the players union, the test results were to remain anonymous but would lead to testing with penalties the next year if more than 5 percent of the results were positive.

That is indeed what occurred. But for reasons never made completely clear, the test results were not destroyed by the players union and the 104 positives were subsequently seized by federal agents on the West Coast investigating matters related to the distribution of drugs to athletes.

...

The lawyers who had knowledge of Sosa’s inclusion on the 2003 list did not know the substance for which Sosa tested positive. They spoke on condition of anonymity because they did not want to be identified as discussing material that is sealed by a court order.

... he was fading as a player when he traveled to Washington in March 2005 to testify with Palmeiro and McGwire and others at a hearing called by a House committee to examine the use of performance-enhancing drugs in baseball.

At the hearing, Sosa testified that “everything” he had heard “about steroids and human growth hormones is that they are bad for you, even lethal” and that he “would never put anything dangerous like that” in his body.

“To be clear,” he added, “I have never taken illegal performance-enhancing drugs. I have never injected myself or had anyone inject me with anything.”

Frankly, I would be really surprised to learn that more than literally a handfull of players from the 90s and early 2000s did not use steroids. This is a multi-million dollar industry and if you did not play by the rules and juiced, you did not play. How many bankers could elude the dubious practices of their craft the last years? Pretty few, I would guess, because that is how the game was played. Eat or be eaten.

If you are looking for untainted heros of that decade, be careful to put too much faith in the precious few names who still appear to be clean. Would you really bet your fortune on Jim Thome or Ken Griffey Jr. not take anything? At least for a short time? A try? Not that I'm accusing them of anything, but seriously, how much would you wager?

We should instead recognize those talented minor leaguers that refused to take that final step that may have pushed them into the bigs and whose names therefore are long forgotten. They were the ones who are the real role models.

 
On pitch counts
Written by Adam Adkins (Contact & Archive) on June 16, 2009   

First off, kiddies, read this.  Bill James and Joe Posnanski are two of the best sports writers in the world, so reading them will be daily material.  There will be a quiz.

The title of the post is 'on pitch counts' for a reason.  James is absolutely correct when he says that teams have went effing bonkers with the pitch count 'rules', in particular the magical 100.  There really isn't any reason to stop at 100.

It would appear that each situation is different depending on the pitcher, first, and his history, the stress of the game, the location and weather, the opponent, and the pitcher's performance.  It must be a hands-on decision, because it's a hands-on situation.

I'm excited to see where Nolan Ryan's ideas run, and if he ends up succeeding or if he buys land next to the Dusty Baker Graveyard.

Adam writes two pieces a week for AHP and also muses about lots of stuff on his blog.  So, you know, please read it.

 
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