Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Latest Articles

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Orioles proving 2012 was no fluke

Now it’s about maintaining their style of play for another postseason run....

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Book Review: Black Sox in the Courtroom

it does lay many Black Sox myths to rest...

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Harper, needs to tone it down. For our sake and his own

Watching him play he reminds you of Pete Rose, but the danger of being the next Pete Reiser is there....

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Poor umpiring lead to good action by MLB

Last week will not be regarded among the finest hours for umpires....

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Darvish quickly becoming AL’s best righty

His early body of work has brought him into the conversation as the AL’s best righty -- if not best pitcher....

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Success comes quickly after Red Sox clean house

It’s hard to call the Red Sox the surprise of 2013, but we could....

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Hitting streaks spanning offseasons are most impressive

With David Ortiz’s recent 27-game hitting streak now over, it once again brings up the debate about whether hitting streaks should carry over from the previous season....

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Gay player wouldn't rock MLB

the truth is that professional sports have largely dealt with homosexuality already within their ranks....

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Orioles proving 2012 was no fluke

by Jim Mancari on 19 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Orioles proving 2012 was no fluke

The Baltimore Orioles were one of the feel-good stories of 2012. They hadn’t reached the postseason since 1996 but defeated the heavily favored Texas Rangers in the new one-game playoff and put up an impressive showing in the ALDS, which they ultimately lost to the New York Yankees in five games.But let’s be realistic: Despite their success from a year ago, no one really considered them a threat to be legitimate playoff contenders this season.Baltimore plays in arguably the toughest division in baseball, and everyone jumped on the Toronto Blue Jays bandwagon this offseason.However, Buck Showalter has his team playing...

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Book Review: Black Sox in the Courtroom

by Jonathan Leshanski on 17 May 2013 (In Reviews)

Book Review: Black Sox in the Courtroom

Book Review: Black Sox in the Courtroom:  the Grand Jury, Criminal Trial and Civil LitigationAuthor: William LambPages: 222Like many baseball fans, I’ve always been intensely interested in the Black Sox.  I’ve read at least a dozen books, written articles on them and even defended one or two of the players based on what I’ve learned.  This book takes it a lot further -- clearing up some points, debunking others -- based not upon the media hype or artistic license taken by many writers on the topic, but by examining nothing other than the legal battles fought in both criminal and...

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Harper, needs to tone it down. For our sake and his own

by Jonathan Leshanski on 16 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Harper, needs to tone it down.  For our sake and his own

Bryce Harper seems to run at one speed: all out, whether he’s hitting, fielding or running full tilt into walls.  And while manager Davey Johnson was capable of joking “I feel kind of sorry for the wall if he keeps running into them,” there is plenty of reason to be concerned for the 20-year-old who has twice now required stitches in his head, precautionary x-rays and concussion fears.But that’s the way that Harper plays.  He plays to win.  Watching him play he reminds you of Pete Rose.  Do whatever it takes, play to win and let the consequences of the...

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Poor umpiring lead to good action by MLB

by Jonathan Leshanski on 15 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Poor umpiring lead to good action by MLB

Last week will not be regarded among the finest hours for umpires.  There were the usual gaffes and miscalls that come with having to make split-second judgments, most of which can easily be written off as minor, but there were issues that simply left the fans, not to mention the sports media, scratching their heads or screaming for robot umpires.The first issue was a big one: when is a home run not a home run?  Well when Robin Ventura hits it and never makes it around the bases is one scenario.  A miscalled foul ball might be another.  But never...

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Darvish quickly becoming AL’s best righty

by Jim Mancari on 13 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Darvish quickly becoming AL’s best righty

Yu Darvish burst onto the scene last season for the Texas Rangers as the prized import of the offseason. He baffled hitters with a variety of pitches and arm slots en route to an impressive first season.But Major League hitters these days have access to so much video footage that they’re able to study an opposing pitcher’s tendencies incessantly. That being said, it was almost a given that Darvish would not experience that same level of success as his rookie season.Darvish, though, has had other plans. His early body of work has brought him into the conversation as the AL’s...

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Success comes quickly after Red Sox clean house

by Jonathan Leshanski on 10 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Success comes quickly after Red Sox clean house

It’s hard to call the Red Sox the surprise of 2013.  They were dreadful last year, finishing last in the East with just 69 wins, three more than the Twins and one more than the Indians.  But over the past decade we’ve gotten so used to seeing a level of excellence from the Boston nine that their resurgence doesn’t seem unnatural.  Well not until you realize that this worst to first transformation seemed to involve gutting the team and dumping salary.The fact is that the front office deceived us.  We thought they were rebuilding and that they’d have a number...

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Hitting streaks spanning offseasons are most impressive

by Jim Mancari on 09 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Hitting streaks spanning offseasons are most impressive

With David Ortiz’s recent 27-game hitting streak now over, it once again brings up the debate about whether hitting streaks should carry over from the previous season.He hit safely in his first 15 games this season after coming off the disabled list on April 20. He finished off last season on a 12-game hitting streak.In recent memory, Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins hit safely in 38 straight games spanning the 2005 and 2006 seasons.Though Joe DiMaggio set the standard with his 56-game hitting streak all in the same season, a hitting streak that spans an entire offseason is actually harder to...

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Gay player wouldn't rock MLB

by Jonathan Leshanski on 07 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Gay player wouldn't rock MLB

When NBA center Jason Collins came out last week, it was huge news. It was brave of him, not just because he was standing up for the rights of people to be who they are, but because he was coming out to both teammates and he wasn’t sure how all of them would react.But the truth is that professional sports have largely dealt with homosexuality already within their ranks.  For the most part they’ve handled it quietly, perhaps occasionally with whispers and verbal jabs between themselves, but they’ve kept it within the ranks of ballplayers and people associated with the...

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Dickey struggling to find Cy Young form

by Jim Mancari on 06 May 2013 (In Regular Articles)

Dickey struggling to find Cy Young form

Not too many Cy Young Award winners have been traded the season after winning, but R.A. Dickey was. He was a coveted target of the Blue Jays' franchise overall, as it became an early favorite to win the American League East.However, Toronto already finds itself in the cellar of the division and the owner of the second worst record in the AL ahead of only the hapless Houston Astros.Dickey has been a reason for this early cold spell, as he hasn’t quite pitched to his Cy Young form. He’s just 2-5 in seven starts with a 5.36 ERA this year....

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Book Review: Kid Nichols – A Biography of the Hall of Fame Pitcher

by Daniel Paulling on 03 May 2013 (In Reviews)

Book Review: Kid Nichols – A Biography of the Hall of Fame Pitcher

Book Review: Kid Nichols – A Biography of the Hall of Fame PitcherBy Jon Leshanski Title: Kid Nichols: A Biography of the Hall of Fame PitcherAuthor: Richard BogovichPages: 262McFarland publishes a lot of biographies about baseball players.  Some are better than others and some are definitely more interesting.  Richard Bogovich’s look at one of the most obscure Hall of Famers ranks in that category. Cover shot Nichols is one of those players who has really slipped between the cracks of baseball’s history and gone largely unnoticed.  His best years really came before 1900, a time when baseball’s history seems especially murky.  Bogovich...

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Why the .400 hitter is gone forever
Written by Bjoern Hartig (Contact & Archive) on May 25, 2009   

The inimitable Joe Posnanski talks about Jack Cust and the .400 hitter and as usual, he is delivering a combination of entertainment and insight:

Last year, Jack Cust came up 598 times.

He struck out 197 times: That's about 1/3 of the time. He walked 111 times. That's about one out of every five times. Total: Jack Cust walked or struck out more than 50 percent of the time he came to the plate last year.

Best I can tell, only two players in baseball history who have qualified for the batting title have done the Jack Cust dance -- that is, walk 100 times, strike out 100 times and not make contact half of the time they came to the plate. The first, of course, Jack Cust in 2008.

I'm not a big Cust fan, but that mostly has something to do with the fact that he plays for the A's while I'm rooting for the Angels, but nevertheless, I find him (like Adam Dunn) highly fascinating. For me, he is a little piece of softball in the big leagues. Walk, hit it out or die trying.

In any way, Joe most elegantly leads over to his other topic, the .400 hitter and why he most likely is a thing of the past:

The ball just got put in play a lot more in the olden days. This may be one quick reason to explain why batters hit for so much higher average in years past. Take the National League in 1930 -- you know, the whole league hit .303 that season. That was the year Bill Terry hit .401, the year Hack Wilson drove in 191 runs, the year 23 out of the 44 batters who qualified for the batting title hit .320 or better.

Well, that year the whole league only struck out about 8 percent of the time.

To give you an idea, last year in the National League batters hit .260 and struck out 18 percent of the time.

How much of a difference is that? Well, if batters had struck out at the 1930 strikeout rate, there would have been 10,000 more balls hit in play. Yikes. TEN THOUSAND more balls in play. We know that, generally speaking, about 30 percent of balls in play turn into hits but to prove the point, let's take it down a notch and say that only 25 percent of those balls hit in play would have been hits.

If you make that adjustment, the league would have hit .288 last year instead of .260. Chipper Jones only struck out 11 percent of the time last year ... but if you drop that down to 8 percent and make the adjustments, he would have hit .376. Matt Holliday would have put 50 more balls in play and might have hit closer to .350. And so on.

And thinking about that led me to wonder ... everyone talks about why no one will ever hit .400 again. And I've heard many, many reasons: Night games, travel, the slider, the split-fingered fastball, improved fielding, the intense media pressure, on and on and on and on.

BUT ... could it just come down to the fact that batters strike out a whole lot more than they did in the .400-hitting days? I do realize that all of the above reasons would contribute to more strikeouts, but I am still wondering here: Is that what it comes down to?

There have been nine .400 seasons since 1920 (when strikeouts are counted on Baseball-Reference). As you might imagine, none of the batters struck out even 8 percent of the time the year they hit .400. Rogers Hornsby hit .401 in 1922 and struck out 7 percent of the time. That was the most. George Sisler hit .407 and .420 in 1920 and '22, respectively ... and he struck out 19 times the first year, 14 times the second. Basically, the guy struck out 3 percent of the time.

"Night games, travel, the slider, the split-fingered fastball, improved fielding, the intense media pressure", how did people come up with those explanation before they thought of the strike out? It is so obvious (but most things are in hindsight).

However, since we probably won't see a low-strike out, high average guy who is able to challenge .400 any time soon, maybe we should pay more attention to the BABIP (batting average on ball in play)? Crown a Batted Ball Champion next to the batting champion and see if someone can challenge the big four oh oh if we waive the Ks.

 
Looking at the current AL OPS leaders
Written by Adam Adkins (Contact & Archive) on May 25, 2009   

Here are your AL OPS leaders, where high batting averages wish to live long and prosper, Vulcan style.

1-Kevin Youkilis 1.178.

Youkilis is a fine player, a really tough batter and a solid defender at first.  But he is not, nor was he ever, a near 1200 OPS man.  He's a comfortable .900 guy.  His batting average is about to dive, oh, 100 points or so.

2-Justin Morneau 1.082


This is sustainable, but it's a little on the high side.  I'd imagine he'll drop about 150 points in OPS.  Virtually the same player as Youk, just less OBP and more SLG.

3-Adam Jones 1.068

Sorry, Adam, I really like you--you're already the best center fielder in the AL East--but you are not the next Barry Bonds.  That OPS is going to drop like a rock, just like your batting average.

4-Joe Mauer 1.400

Whoa, Joe, come on, even Bonds only did that once (2004).  But I tell you, Mauer is on a hall of fame path.  Mauer's career OPS+ is 133.   Reggie freaking Jackson's career mark was only... 139.  Just sayin'.  In case you've forgotten... Mauer is a catcher, Jackson a right fielder.  Okay.  See the significance?  Good.

5-Jason Bay 1.036

Bay is a really good hitter, but that would be a new career mark for him, but I'd say out of all the 5 he's the most likely to stay.  Contract year.  $$$ talks.  Maybe if he stays like this all year he'll just go ahead and be a Red Sox for a while.

Source: http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2009-batting-leaders.shtml

 
Kazmir to DL
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on May 24, 2009   

Scott Kazmir hasn't been the ace many projected him to be. At 25, his career ERA is 3.85, yes, but his WHIP is an atrocious 1.40. His average innings per start is less than 6. He's only broken 200 IP once in his career.

When he pitches, Kazmir nibbles too much and throws too many balls. At this rate, he'll never be an ace or a No. 2. Instead, he's end-of-the-rotation fodder. Gary Shelton of the St. Petersburg Times writes Kazmir's disabled list stay may help Kazmir get his groove back.

For Kazmir, this season has been like getting trapped in hell's outhouse. He has been embarrassed by his ERA. He has been whipped by his WHIP. Magically, he has acquired the ability to transform pedestrian hitters into Ted Williams.

Keeping all that in mind, what's a little stopover on the disabled list?

This could be a good thing for Kazmir, a good thing for the Rays, a good thing for everyone involved. Kazmir can use the break because of his sore thigh, and everyone else can use it because of their sore eyes.

For some time, it has been obvious the mound is no longer Kazmir's friend. His mechanics have been so out of whack, he can't fix them on the fly. And the more he has tinkered, the worst things have gotten. In some ways, Kazmir is lucky it is his leg that hurts, not his arm.

When you consider the other options - the bullpen, the minors - the DL might give Kazmir the best chance at a fresh start. Think of it like this: Going on the disabled list might end Troy Percival's career, but it might save Kazmir's.

For Kazmir to save his career, he'll have to get healthy, clean up his delivery and trust his quality stuff much more. Kazmir needs to attack hitters more often. Otherwise, he's going to be a five-inning starter who never lived up to ace billing.

 
Peavy and Brewers?
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on May 24, 2009   

In the wake of Jake Peavy rejected a trade to the White Sox, Paul Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel writes the Brewers could be an option to land Peavy. I discussed this last season when I suggested the Brewers needed another ace to pair with Yovani Gallardo after the departures of Sheets and Sabathia.

Though San Diego ace Jake Peavy exercised his no-trade rights to veto a deal to the Chicago White Sox, you have to figure the cost-cutting Padres will continue to seek a trade.

Don't be surprised if the Milwaukee Brewers jump in at some point.

It was obvious by what the Sox put on the table that the Padres are looking for good, young pitchers in any deal for Peavy. Clayton Richard and Aaron Poreda, the top young pitchers in Chicago's system, were in the four-player package offered to San Diego.

That would seem to count out the Brewers, who have no pitching prospects to trade at the top of their farm system.

But, as suitors fall by the wayside because of Peavy's no-trade rights, the cost eventually could come down. Peavy backed the Padres farther into a corner by vetoing the White Sox trade and making it clear he prefers to stay in the National League.

That's where the Brewers might make their second bold move in two seasons. Peavy certainly would bend their finances, with an $11 million salary in 2009 and $52 million remaining on his deal over the next three years (including a buyout for 2013).

But owner Mark Attanasio makes his living in the financial world and knows how to be creative. Some payroll space will be created when Jeff Suppan's $12.5 million salary comes off the books after next season.

Despite his high salary, Peavy is more attractive in a trade because he'll be around at least three more years. Last season, the Brewers knew when they acquired CC Sabathia from Cleveland they'd probably lose him to free agency afterward.

Whether the Brewers could come up with the players it would take to do such a deal is debatable. General manager Doug Melvin has said he has no inclination to trade his top two prospects, third baseman Mat Gamel and shortstop Alcides Escobar.

For the Brewers to make the deal last offseason, I suggested they part with Gamel and Escobar. In hindsight, that was too much. Once the Padres back off on their demands -- after all, they need to move Peavy pretty bad -- Escobar and a few other quality prospects could get this deal going.

The Padres need to rebuild and Escobar would give them a solid base in the infield to do that. San Diego's doesn't have many pitching prospects, but its home stadium makes average pitchers good and good pitchers great.

Besides, San Diego still has a great bargaining chip after Peavy: Adrian Gonzalez.

This deal would give the Brewers an opportunity to content all season long in the weak National League Central. Because Peavy's deal lasts through 2012, that would give them a few more seasons to reap the benefits of having traded for this ace.

Don't expect Peavy to the Brewers to be a foregone conclusion, but it's a deal that makes plenty of sense for both sides involved.

 
Live-Tweeting Yanks-Phils
Written by Adam Adkins (Contact & Archive) on May 24, 2009   

Hey, Adam here, just wanna let you know that I am tweeting (twittering?)  today's titanic struggle between Sabathia and Hamels.  Should be a beaut.

www.twitter.com/adkwriter

Thanks!

 
Peavy declines trade to White Sox
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on May 21, 2009   

Jake Peavy declined a trade to the Chicago White Sox, reports the Chicago Sun Times and Jon Heyman of SI.com.

The White Sox would've received Peavy, who has a complete no-trade clause through 2010 and a partial no-trade clause in 2011 and 2012. He has a $22 million option for 2013.

Two left-handed pitching prospects, Aaron Poreda and Clayton Richards were rumored to be heading to San Diego.

 
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