Tuesday, February 09, 2010
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Not News and Not a Floodgate

by J. Leshanski

So Mark McGwire finally admitted to everyone that he used steroids...b...

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Book Review: Sliding Billy Hamilton

by Richard Coreno

The Life and Times of Baseball's First Great Leadoff Hitter...

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Book Review: Major League Baseball in Gilded Age Connecticut

by Richard Coreno

The Rise and Fall of the Middletown, New Haven and Hartford Clubs...

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Point/Counterpoint: Worst Offseason Move

by AHP Staff

Was it the signing of Jason Bay or the Diamondbacks trading away young pitchers?...

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Book Review: Eye for Talent

by Richard Coreno

Interviews with veteran baseball scouts...

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Not News and Not a Floodgate

By Jonathan Leshanski on January 14

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So Mark McGwire finally admitted to everyone that he used steroids.  Big deal, where is the story?  After all you'd pretty much have to have spent the last 15 years living in a cave somewhere to not know that baseball had, and still probably has, a major steroid problem.  It's not unique to McGwire nor to the sport.  Plenty of...

Book Review: Sliding Billy Hamilton

By Richard Coreno on January 12

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With the precision of an ace runner on the base paths, Society for America Baseball Research member Roy Kerr uncovers the life and times of a forgotten superstar through the exclusive use of primary resources in Sliding Billy Hamilton: The Life and Times of Baseball's First Great Leadoff Hitter. The recent publication is part of an ongoing series of dusting...

Book Review: Major League Baseball in Gilded Age Connecticut

By Richard Coreno on January 8

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With a rich tradition in amateur baseball, it seemed like a natural for the entrepreneurial spirit to take hold in Connecticut at the birth of the professional game. And a trio of cities played money ball from 1872 to 1876, but ended up as footnotes on this new diamond, with one franchise relocating to another state in 1877 before ceasing...

Point/Counterpoint: Worst Offseason Move

By At Home Plate Staff on January 6

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Mets Make Boneheaded Move with Bay By Jon Leshanski So what is the worst move of the offseason?   In my mind it has to be the boneheaded signing of Jason Bay by the New York Mets.  Bay was exactly what the Mets don't need, another high priced aging player who struggles in the field and demanded a guaranteed long term...

Book Review: Eye for Talent

By Richard Coreno on January 1

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Before slick software and statistical analysts who crunch numbers to determine the next five-tool star, the science of discovering talented baseball players was solely based on reports from eyewitness accounts of scouts. And they worked their territories with meticulous care, since any field with a game or practice could have that pitcher with a live arm, a batter who is...

Point/Counterpoint: Best Rotation in AL East

By At Home Plate Staff on December 30

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The Red Sox added former Angels ace John Lackey to an already loaded rotation, but the Yankees quickly countered by trading for Javier Vazquez, who pitched brilliantly for the Braves in 2009. Now that the dust has set down, which team comes out on top? Jonathan Leshanski and Daniel Paulling debate in another AHP Point/Counterpoint. Slight Edge for Red Sox...

Book Review: Strike IX

By Richard Coreno on December 28

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It wasn't supposed to end this way. In 1999, the baseball diamond was swept away at Providence College, ending 80 seasons that may have not made a huge impact in the athletic record book or in Major League Baseball -- the most famous pro player, Birdie Tebbetts, retired in 1952 -- but gloriously faded into the shadows of Hendricken Field...

Book Reviews: Traded & The Bill James Handbook

By Richard Coreno on December 25

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The Hot Stove League gets smoking with a twin bill of recent releases from ACTA Sports which dig into the heart -- and controversies -- of the game; statistical consultant Doug Decatur explores the art of the deal in Traded: Inside the Most Lopsided Trades in Baseball History, while Baseball Info Solutions and Bill James crunch numbers around the diamond...

Book Review: The Miracle has Landed

By Richard Coreno on December 7

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Leave it to southpaw star Jerry "The Kooz" Koosman to deliver a perfect pitch for the spectacular The Miracle Has Landed: The Amazin' Story of How the 1969 Mets Shocked the World: "This year, 1969, is broken down into minute stories, with detailed biographies of players and coaches and their thoughts from the great season and how it compared with...

Mets Seeking New Direction This Offseason

By Jonathan Leshanski on December 2

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For the Mets this offseason is about identity. After watching the Yankees seemingly coast to another World Championship, New York's other baseball team is feeling the pain.  Despite a new stadium and its willingness to spend money over the past few seasons, the organization has struggled to find themselves and are fighting to maintain a fan base which is becoming...

Truth, Rumors and Pure Speculation: Starting Pitchers

By Daniel Paulling on November 28

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Welcome to the first Truth, Rumors and Pure Speculation column of the 2009-10 offseason. This is designed to provide you with insight as to how the offseason will go and the latest rumors on who is headed where. Today, we're discussing starting pitchers. Roy Halladay   Though not a free agent, Halladay is definitely on the market. Photo by Keith...

Book Review: Chief Bender - A Baseball Biography

By Richard Coreno on November 25

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The Hot Stove League fires out to a sizzling start with baseball historian Robert Peyton Wiggins and his excellent exploration into the life and times of legendary pitcher Charles Albert "Chief" Bender in Chief Bender: A Baseball Biography (November 2009; McFarland & Company, Inc., Publishers). Bender, one-half Chippewa, played 16 years in the majors -- 1903 to 1917 with the...

American League Championship Breakdown

By Jonathan Leshanski on October 17

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Well the Phillies and Dodgers put on a good show last night.  So now it's the American League's turn in what looks to be an outstanding match up.  In many ways there are a ton of parallels between the teams in this series and the one playing in the NLCS.  That includes more than just geographical similarities. The Yankees and...

National League Championship Breakdown

By Jonathan Leshanski on October 15

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I find it funny just how many people seem to care about television ratings when it comes to baseball and the World Series.  If you haven't heard yet (ad nauseum) from either the TBS commentators, radio commentators or sports columnists, the best World Series match up in terms of ratings would clearly be the Yankees v. Dodgers in the fall...

Book Review: The Wizard of Waxahachie

By Richard Coreno on October 9

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I think that's a wonderful standard to earn; the baseball man. - Tony La Russa In elegant prose, impeccable scholarship and a bibliography that is worth the price of admission, historian Warren Corbett pens a masterful biography on a forgotten king of the diamond in The Wizard of Waxahachie: Paul Richards and the End of Baseball as We Knew It...

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Not News and Not a Floodgate

By Jonathan Leshanski on January 14

News image

So Mark McGwire finally admitted to everyone that he used steroids.  Big deal, where is the story?  After all you'd pretty much have to have spent the last 15 years living in a cave somewhere to not know that baseball had, and still probably has, a major steroid problem.  It's not unique to McGwire nor to the sport.  Plenty of...

Point/Counterpoint: Worst Offseason Move

By At Home Plate Staff on January 6

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Mets Make Boneheaded Move with Bay By Jon Leshanski So what is the worst move of the offseason?   In my mind it has to be the boneheaded signing of Jason Bay by the New York Mets.  Bay was exactly what the Mets don't need, another high priced aging player who struggles in the field and demanded a guaranteed long term...

Point/Counterpoint: Best Rotation in AL East

By At Home Plate Staff on December 30

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The Red Sox added former Angels ace John Lackey to an already loaded rotation, but the Yankees quickly countered by trading for Javier Vazquez, who pitched brilliantly for the Braves in 2009. Now that the dust has set down, which team comes out on top? Jonathan Leshanski and Daniel Paulling debate in another AHP Point/Counterpoint. Slight Edge for Red Sox...

Mets Seeking New Direction This Offseason

By Jonathan Leshanski on December 2

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For the Mets this offseason is about identity. After watching the Yankees seemingly coast to another World Championship, New York's other baseball team is feeling the pain.  Despite a new stadium and its willingness to spend money over the past few seasons, the organization has struggled to find themselves and are fighting to maintain a fan base which is becoming...

Truth, Rumors and Pure Speculation: Starting Pitchers

By Daniel Paulling on November 28

News image

Welcome to the first Truth, Rumors and Pure Speculation column of the 2009-10 offseason. This is designed to provide you with insight as to how the offseason will go and the latest rumors on who is headed where. Today, we're discussing starting pitchers. Roy Halladay   Though not a free agent, Halladay is definitely on the market. Photo by Keith...

American League Championship Breakdown

By Jonathan Leshanski on October 17

News image

Well the Phillies and Dodgers put on a good show last night.  So now it's the American League's turn in what looks to be an outstanding match up.  In many ways there are a ton of parallels between the teams in this series and the one playing in the NLCS.  That includes more than just geographical similarities. The Yankees and...

National League Championship Breakdown

By Jonathan Leshanski on October 15

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I find it funny just how many people seem to care about television ratings when it comes to baseball and the World Series.  If you haven't heard yet (ad nauseum) from either the TBS commentators, radio commentators or sports columnists, the best World Series match up in terms of ratings would clearly be the Yankees v. Dodgers in the fall...

Phillies, Rockies Series to Provide Great Baseball

By Jonathan Leshanski on October 7

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It's not all that often that I go to a playoff game.  Sure in the grand scheme of things I've probably seen a lot of games.  I've seen the Mets, Giants, Reds, Yankees, Royals, Padres, Diamondbacks, Dodgers and Cardinals matchups in person. But I've ever seen the Phillies or Rockies live in the playoffs before today. The Phillies and Rockies...

Exciting Baseball for Final Races

By Jonathan Leshanski on September 28

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There is not a lot of baseball left to be played in the regular season, but there still is a bit of drama in the few races left to be decided.  Sure technically the Angels, Dodgers, Phillies and Red Sox haven't yet clinched their playoff spots, but at this point that really is little more than a formality. Had Dontrelle...

Corporate culture is key to success

By Jonathan Leshanski on September 18

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For my birthday this year, I went on a little trip overseas, sadly my laptop did not survive the outbound leg of the journey and with it went two columns I had written for AHP.  Thus while sitting on a beach half a world away I found myself unable to keep writing, but with plenty of time to do some...

The New League

By Justin Zeth on September 9

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There is a well entrenched idea held by those responsible for Major League Baseball, rather unique to Major League baseball among the major American spectator sports, that baseball is a perfect game. Not in the general sense; I don't simply mean that baseball is a better game than basketball or hockey or shuffleboard. I mean in the specific sense, in...

Steroids Ruin Human Aspect of Baseball

By Bjoern Hartig on September 2

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Alex Rodriguez, Manny Ramirez and David Ortiz are the biggest names that have been associated with steroids this season. Because I do not live in the States, I was not able to closely follow the media coverage, but I dare say that while A-Rod's exposure provoked a lot of criticism, Manny and Big Papi seem to mostly get off rather...

Where to Place Blame for Mets Woes

By Jonathan Leshanski on August 24

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It's hard to watch the Mets.  Yeah I've watched them through all of the bumbling years, the games where the over-under per game was four or even five errors.  I've seen them in triumph and I've seen them in ignominious defeat, but in all the years I've followed the team I've never seen them look so wretched and so hard...

Supplements Could Easily be Contaminated

By Jonathan Leshanski on August 17

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I, for one, am sick of players testing positive for using banned performance enhancing drugs.  Since at least the early 70s (and probably before), players have ingested amphetamines, steroids and just about anything else they could take to give themselves an "edge" when they got onto the field.  In fact it's possible that the use of what we would deem...

The Best AL Pitcher

By Bjoern Hartig on August 14

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Ever since Johan Santana moved to the Mets, the title of best pitcher in the American League has been up for grabs. With Cliff Lee shipped to Philadelphia and with apologies to Josh Beckett, Justin Verlander and CC Sabathia who all may very well win the Cy Young Award this season, three hurlers have separated themselves with their performances this...

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Fantasy Baseball: Torrid Starts Tamed

By Tony Meale on August 26

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Back in April, I wrote a column about the dangers of getting too comfortable too soon with the early season success of your fantasy team and the individuals comprising it. I also advised all of you Evan Longoria owners to test the trade waters to determine how big a bite you could get for the Tampa third baseman, who, at...

Fantasy Baseball: Playing The Name Game

By Tony Meale on August 20

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The MLB trade deadline may have passed on July 31, but the fantasy trade deadline -- if your league has one -- likely either just happened or is about to happen. In my league, the deadline came and went Aug. 16. Saddled in seventh place (out of 12 teams), I knew I had to act. Despite early and mid-season acquisitions...

Fantasy Baseball: Maximizing Your Ranking in Roto Leagues

By Jonathan Leshanski on July 30

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It's no longer a marathon but a race.  In fantasy ball most of us tend to start the season with a long view.  We can wait while slumping sluggers attempt to find their normal places in the fantasy rankings, but as the season wears along the time for patience begins to pass.   Now with barely two months left in the...

Fantasy Baseball: Four Struggling Veterans to Consider

By Jonathan Leshanski on July 23

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In the first of our new Four Bagger columns, we'll take a look at four players who all have one thing in common: They are at the very least perceived as having a sub-par season.  All of these hitters -- Jimmy Rollins, Magglio Ordonez, Alfonso Soriano and Matt Holliday -- ranked among the top options at their position but have...

Fantasy Baseball: Burning on Fantasy Options

By Tony Meale on July 21

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Not to sound like Jim Rome (whom I actually admire and find entertaining), but here's what I'm burnin' on: I don't care what anybody says about Hanley Ramirez or A-Rod or anyone else -- Albert Pujols is the best player in baseball, and he should be the consensus No. 1 pick in every draft next year. I don't care about...

Fantasy Baseball: Chasing Value

By Jonathan Leshanski on July 19

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I spent a lot of time considering players over the All-Star break and trying to determine if guys like Raul Ibanez was real, if Juan Pierre had any real value, and just bouncing around some names thinking about how they'd impact fantasy teams over the next month or three.  Here are a smattering of my conclusions. Raul Ibanez has put...

Fantasy Baseball: What's in a Name?

By Jonathan Leshanski on July 9

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Like many fantasy players I tend to play in more than one league per season.  In some leagues trading is easy -- throw out some offers, get some offers, make some deals.  In others the trading is hard, unless you are willing to part with a top player, no one wants to talk to you at all.  But being willing...

Fantasy Baseball: The Good Arroyo Needs to Stand Up

By Tony Meale on July 7

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Back in May, I wrote a column imploring the real Ricky Nolasco to please stand up. Apparently, he has. After a brief stint in the minors, Nolasco has been almost untouchable for the past month; in six starts since returning to the Marlins, he is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA and boasts an astonishing 45:7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Despite taking the...

Fantasy Baseball: Ticker Week 13 (6/29-7/5)

By Robert Democh on June 28

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  Before you set your lineup in weekly leagues, make sure to read At Home Plate’s fantasy ticker. Fantasy expert Robert Democh chooses his two-start pitchers, gives a rundown on who’s hot and cold and discusses which teams are heading to pitchers paradises and which are going to hitters havens in the upcoming week. Prepare yourself for total fantasy domination....

Fantasy Baseball: Start your Second-Half Comeback

By Jonathan Leshanski on June 25

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We're just a week from the halfway mark.  No, that doesn't necessarily mean that each team has played 81 games, or that we've reached the All-Star break, but that we've put three months of a six-month season behind us.  There have been some major disappointments due to injury, due to slumps or due simply to bad luck.  That's left a...

Fantasy Baseball: Ticker Week Twelve (6/22-6/28)

By Robert Democh on June 21

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  Before you set your lineup in weekly leagues, make sure to read At Home Plate’s fantasy ticker. Fantasy expert Robert Democh chooses his two-start pitchers, gives a rundown on who’s hot and cold and discusses which teams are heading to pitchers paradises and which are going to hitters havens in the upcoming week. Prepare yourself for total fantasy domination....

Fantasy Baseball: Fantasy Impact of a Potential Firesale in Arlington

By Jonathan Leshanski on June 18

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July is just around the corner and that means that the MLB non-waiver trading deadline is coming up.  With it comes the potential for a whole slew of moves which could affect fantasy teams and the value of certain players as contenders try to fortify themselves for a run at the playoffs. Up until last month that probably meant the...

Fantasy Baseball: Happy Birthday to Me

By Tony Meale on June 16

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Last weekend, somewhere between gifts and cake, my friend gave me Cole Hamels for my birthday. Well, not literally, of course. But in the world of fantasy baseball, my friend served up the Philadelphia ace on a silver platter, gift wrapped and everything. I've told you about him before (we'll call him Mark). He's the one who traded me Yovani...

Fantasy Baseball: Ticker Week Eleven (6/15-6/21)

By Robert Democh on June 14

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  Before you set your lineup in weekly leagues, make sure to read At Home Plate’s fantasy ticker. Fantasy expert Robert Democh chooses his two-start pitchers, gives a rundown on who’s hot and cold and discusses which teams are heading to pitchers paradises and which are going to hitters havens in the upcoming week. Prepare yourself for total fantasy domination....

Fantasy Baseball: Watch out for Hype

By Jonathan Leshanski on June 11

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Unless you are playing in a keeper league, try not to get too distracted by all the draft hype. After all there is enough of it at the Major League level right now, especially when it comes to rookies.  And there are plenty of those to think about on the free agent lists throughout baseball.  You’ll also see quite a...

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Book Review: Sliding Billy Hamilton

By Richard Coreno on January 12

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With the precision of an ace runner on the base paths, Society for America Baseball Research member Roy Kerr uncovers the life and times of a forgotten superstar through the...

Book Review: Major League Baseball in Gilded Age Connecticut

By Richard Coreno on January 8

News image

With a rich tradition in amateur baseball, it seemed like a natural for the entrepreneurial spirit to take hold in Connecticut at the birth of the professional game. And a...

Book Review: Eye for Talent

By Richard Coreno on January 1

News image

Before slick software and statistical analysts who crunch numbers to determine the next five-tool star, the science of discovering talented baseball players was solely based on reports from eyewitness accounts...

Book Review: Strike IX

By Richard Coreno on December 28

News image

It wasn't supposed to end this way. In 1999, the baseball diamond was swept away at Providence College, ending 80 seasons that may have not made a huge impact in...

Book Reviews: Traded & The Bill James Handbook

By Richard Coreno on December 25

News image

The Hot Stove League gets smoking with a twin bill of recent releases from ACTA Sports which dig into the heart -- and controversies -- of the game; statistical consultant...

Book Review: The Miracle has Landed

By Richard Coreno on December 7

News image

Leave it to southpaw star Jerry "The Kooz" Koosman to deliver a perfect pitch for the spectacular The Miracle Has Landed: The Amazin' Story of How the 1969 Mets Shocked...

Book Review: Chief Bender - A Baseball Biography

By Richard Coreno on November 25

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The Hot Stove League fires out to a sizzling start with baseball historian Robert Peyton Wiggins and his excellent exploration into the life and times of legendary pitcher Charles Albert...

Book Review: The Wizard of Waxahachie

By Richard Coreno on October 9

News image

I think that's a wonderful standard to earn; the baseball man. - Tony La Russa In elegant prose, impeccable scholarship and a bibliography that is worth the price of admission,...

Review: Out Of The Park Baseball X

By Bjoern Hartig on September 25

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September is upon us, meaning that some lucky fans get to cheer their teams to pennants and wild cards, savoring the anticipation of postseason glory. Meanwhile, followers of teams like...

Book Review: The Machine

By Richard Coreno on September 11

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Click here to read an extensive excerpt of Joe Posnanski's new book, which is due out September 15. "Bunch of losers," (Pete) Rose shouted. "We can't lose this game. We...

Book Review: Ray Schalk - A Baseball Biography

By Richard Coreno on September 4

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Who was Ray Schalk? "'I think he was a ballplayer. From somewhere around here,'" said one softball player to a visitor at Ray Schalk Field in Harvel, Illinois, in May...

Book Review: The Hustler’s Handbook

By Richard Coreno on August 28

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Bill Veeck had been out of baseball for four years when The Hustler's Handbook was originally published in 1965 and it appeared to many pundits that he was out of...

Book Review - Heart of the Game

By Richard Coreno on August 21

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"That can kill a guy." --Mike Coolbaugh "The last baseball games out west will be finishing late, in stadiums filled with strangers, and by morning all will know who won...

Book Review: American Icon

By At Home Plate Staff on August 7

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Roger Clemens and his journey through the legal system in the aftermath of his alleged steroid usage has been a long and complicated story covered by multiple news outlets. American...

Book Review: Miracle Ball

By Richard Coreno on July 28

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One photograph tells it all, for those willing to look very closely. Pafko at the Wall, an iconic shot of Andy Pafko of the Brooklyn Dodgers looking up into the...

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2009 Team Previews 2009 Fantasy Takes
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Baltimore Orioles
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Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians

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Atlanta Braves
Florida Marlins
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NL Central
Chicago Cubs
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Podsednik deal not that bad
Written by Bjoern Hartig (Contact & Archive) on January 09, 2010   

The Kansas City Royals have signed Scott Podsednik to a one year deal worth $1.75 million. Mostly, the reaction were rather harsh, but considering that it is a short term deal and that Podsednik was nearly worth as much even when he was playing poorly from 2006-2008. Last year however, he was average on defense and overall, was worth $7.5 million (according to fangraphs), so if even if he only gives the Royals half of that, the deal is actually a steal.

Of course, the best case scenario for the Royals would be that the Podster plays well and gets shipped to a contender who needs a pinch-runner or 4th outfielder, although the Royals have been quite reluctant to deal their veterans in recent history.

Still, unless those $2 million reduce the Royals draft fund, this may have been an uninspiring signing, but most certainly to a bad one.



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McGwire forgiven?
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on January 08, 2010   

Sportswriters, at times, write things that don't make sense. If you are covering a team with many other writers sharing the same opinions, you'll have to offer a different perspective to stand out. That, or you can blend in to the crowd.

But there are some things that are inexcusable. Gwen Knapp, of the San Francisco Chronicle, provided one of those today.

Now that Tony LaRussa has publicly revealed his fantasy of using Mark McGwire as a pinch-hitter if the Cardinals remain in contention when MLB rosters expand Aug. 31, the Giants should feel perfectly comfortable making the same option available to Barry Bonds.

We can all agree to suspend judgment, since the commissioner himself, after years of re-casting himself as the steroid sheriff, graciously welcomed the news that McGwire would become the St. Louis hitting coach. Apparently, all is forgiven, including McGwire's decision to duck questions in front of Congress.

I don't see how Selig could have done anything differently in this situation. Did you honestly expect him to react angrily to the news that McGwire was hired as the team's hitting coach? Is he going to come out and condemn the Cardinals for hiring McGwire, despite is past associations with performance-enhancing substances.

(I'm not saying McGwire took anything, but it's safe to say McGwire is guilty in the court of public opinion. I don't have evidence for anything, but I also think McGwire was juicing.)

No, Selig can't do that. It would tarnish Major League Baseball if he said something along the lines of, "We don't want McGwire associated with any Major League team." Why? Because MLB didn't do anything to McGwire's career numbers. If he's not guilty of anything in the past in MLB's eyes, then why should he be guilty when it comes to being hired for a job?

We can't use Selig's response to McGwire's hiring as evidence to anything. Selig could think McGwire is the biggest cheat MLB has ever seen and wants nothing to ever do with him. Selig could think McGwire was the cleanest player who ever lived. His reaction in both instances would be the same. Therefore, it's inconclusive as to whether or not Selig has forgiven McGwire.

We also know that sportswriters have not forgiven McGwire. For that, just take a look at the results of the Hall of Fame balloting. The fans probably haven't forgiven McGwire, especially after his non-showing in the Congressional hearings and his reluctance to speak with the media concerning his past after being hired by the Cardinals.

I'm also willing to bet that the fans will boo McGwire relentlessly should he ever step to the plate again.

What's even worse is Knapp's closing line to her column:

If McGwire can go up to the plate and belt one out in September, we'll marvel over how 46 has become the new 26. The words "human growth hormone" won't cross our minds or lips.

Really? Are you kidding me? McGwire is guilty in the court of public opinion, that much is certain. As soon as he stepped to the plate, the words "human growth hormone" and "cheat" will cross the minds of fans and "boo" will cross their lips.

As for the sportswriters who do not vote for McGwire (about 75%), they will be thinking the same thing: McGwire is a cheat.

If McGwire does hit a home run, at the age of 46, that will be more reason to suspect he's a cheat. Teams stayed away from Barry Bonds and Rafael Palmeiro after their ties to performance-enhancing substances. Neither could find a job, despite wanting to play and perhaps being productive.

Manny Ramirez was booed after he tested positive for a women's fertility drug. Alex Rodriguez, as well. David Ortiz, a well liked player, was booed after being linked to the 2003 drug tests by the New York Times. Roger Clemens couldn't find a job despite being one of the better pitchers over the last 50 years.



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Cardinals overpay for Holliday
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on January 05, 2010   

Matt Holliday, on The Doug Gottlieb Show on ESPN Radio on Tuesday, announced that he would be returning to the St. Louis Cardinals. He said the deal is for seven years and about $120 million, an AAV of a little more than $17.1 million a season.

The Cardinals greatly overpaid for Holliday. It's not that he isn't worth the money. It's that there was no one else in the bidding for Holliday.

The Yankees have long said they wouldn't spend big money on a free agent addition after their latest moves. The Giants weren't going to be major factors in the chase for Holliday. The Orioles bowed out early in the process, while the Red Sox weren't going to sign Holliday after bringing in John Lackey and Mike Cameron. The Mets didn't have the money or necessity after bringing in Jason Bay. The Cubs don't have the money to make a major move, and the same applied to the Dodgers.

The Angels were, realistically, the only team with the need and (perhaps) the financial situation to compete with the Cardinals. But they were more likely to chase the pitchers available on the free agent market, whether it was Lackey or Javier Vazquez, than a high profile outfielder.

The Cardinals were the only team seriously in the bidding for Holliday. And it was certain that he would return to the Cardinals. This was a situation perhaps perfectly reminiscent of Manny Ramirez from last season. It was rumored Ramirez was looking for a four-year deal worth $100 million. He ended up with two years and something around $50 million.

There just wasn't a huge market for Ramirez's services. Plus, it made too much sense for him to go back to the Dodgers.

The Cardinals didn't follow the model and save themselves some money. Yes, they needed Holliday. Badly. But Holliday needed the Cardinals. There weren't any other teams willing to shell out the big bucks.

The Cardinals could have used this leverage better in their negotiations. They could've offered a five-year deal worth $75 million, an AAV of $15 million. Where else was Holliday going to get a bigger deal? No where. There just wasn't a market for him. The Cardinals should've realized this.

Albert Pujols will be a free agent eventually, and the Cardinals are going to need every dollar bill they have to bring him back. Too bad they spent too many in overpaying Holliday.



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$30 million estimate for Mauer plain silly
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on December 31, 2009   

We know Joe Mauer is a valuable player, but is he worth as much as the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports may be the case?

One prominent industry source says it could take $30 million per season to sign Joe Mauer if the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox get into a free-agent bidding war for the Twins' all-star catcher after next season.

People will say outrageous things, and sportswriters (and other types of writers, of course) will quote them. It makes for a good story or at least a tidbit. But this is downright ridiculous.

First, let's take a look at a potential bidding war between the Yankees and the Red Sox. Mauer becomes a free agent after the 2010 season, but the Yankees owe Posada $13.1 million in 2011.

If you figure the deal is backloaded and Mauer "only" gets $23 million that first season (should he sign a contract worth $30 million in AAV), the Yankees would be paying $46 million at catcher. You could DH Posada, but his bat isn't good enough to play there consistently for an entire season for a contending team. That Mark Teixeira has first base locked up for a good number of years, as well.

Posada would be a very expensive part-time player. Getting in the Mauer sweepstakes is nothing the Yankees want, unless Posada retires, which is doubtful.

Victor Martinez is a free agent after the 2010 season, so it's possible the Red Sox could move on to Mauer, who is Martinez's equal with the bat and a better catcher. But why not sign Martinez to a reasonable deal worth about $10-13 million a season over four years? He will have built a familiarity with the Red Sox's pitchers by then and adjusted to playing in Boston.

But the Red Sox could spend big money on Mauer and receive an upgrade. It's definitely possible. But there won't be a bidding war between them and the Yankees. There's no way the Yankees will dedicate about one-seventh of their (guessed by me to be $210 million) payroll.

Especially when you consider Derek Jeter is going to sign a lucrative deal to finish his career in pinstripes, Alex Rodriguez will be getting paid huge bucks in the latter portions of his career, and that the Yankees are paying CC Sabathia and Mark Teixeira about $45 million combined each season. Another expenditure of $30 million per season for a player is ridiculous for them to do.

Mauer's $30 million contract would represent about one-sixth of the Red Sox's payroll. They aren't crazy enough to sink that much money into one player. The Red Sox are going to fight for payroll flexibility.

So, what does the market look like for Mauer in the 2010-2011 offseason? If he wants to sign with the Twins, the ballclub would probably offer something in the neighborhood of $13-15 million per season. It will open a ballpark in 2010, which should bring some revenue to cover an expenditure that big.

The Mets may be out of the bidding because they are expected to sign Bengie Molina in the upcoming days. It's doubtful any of the other big-market teams, like the Cubs, Angels and Dodgers, will have the money to spend on Mauer.

The Orioles are frequently mentioned as potential landing spots for big-name free agents, but they already have Matt Wieters around which to build.

There are really no other places for Mauer to go, and logically it seems like there will be no mega-bidding war for Mauer between the Yankees and Red Sox.

This was just a sportswriter just rushing to publish something.



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Holliday's situation looks familiar
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on December 29, 2009   

Jason Bay's new deal with the Mets forces Matt Holliday's hand.

Bay, who agreed to a four-year deal worth $66 million on Tuesday, was the only other superstar bat available in the free agent market. With John Lackey having signed, Holliday remains the only player who figures to sign for a load of money this offseason.

The Red Sox reportedly offered Holliday about $85 million over five years, but that money went to Lackey. The team also signed Mike Cameron to provide solid defense in the outfield.

The other known club to have made an offer to Holliday was St. Louis, and the Cardinals now hold the advantage in negotiations.

Scott Boras could argue that Holliday is the only superstar free agent who could fill in the tremendous lineup gap behind Albert Pujols. He could also lord over the Cardinals the fact that they need to spend money to keep their superstar first baseman appeased.

But what, exactly, is Holliday's market? There are no other teams willing to shell out plenty of money to sign Holliday. The Angels may be considered a dark horse team by some, but it's doubtful they would spend any money. They have been reluctant to make big gambles recently.

The Giants think that Holliday is too expensive for the team to add, and it appears the Yankees are adamant about not spending a lot of money on their next left fielder. Boston would have to make a lot happen before it could bring in Holliday, even if it wanted to now.

The Cardinals are in the same position as the Dodgers were last season with Manny Ramirez. Ramirez was looking for a four-year deal worth about $100 million, but he had to settle for something half that big.

Look for history to repeat itself. Holliday will sign with the Cardinals, and it's going to be on the team's terms. It's been reported the average annual value (AAV) of the Cardinals' offer to Holliday has been in the neighborhood of $15 million.

Try as Boras might, there's not going to be anything bigger than that on the free agent market.

But this is an ideal situation for Holliday and the Cardinals. Well, assuming new Cardinals hitting coach Mark McGwire doesn't want to change Holliday's swing, as he did last offseason.

As you can remember, Holliday started the season in a terrible slump before changing his swing.



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Mets should experiment with Escobar
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on December 26, 2009   

Kelvim Escobar has agreed to terms with the New York Mets and only needs to pass a physical for the deal to be official. The club is looking at him as a relief pitcher, says Roger Rubin of the New York Daily News.

Before the righthander missed almost all of the past two seasons with shoulder injuries, he was a dynamic starter for the Angels, going 18-7 with a 3.40 ERA in 2007. Minaya told the Daily News Friday, "With Escobar, we are looking at him as a reliever."

In the best-case scenario he could set up closer Francisco Rodriguez as the team's eighth-inning guy.

That brings up an interesting question: Why label him as a relief pitcher right now? Shouldn't the Mets wait until they've seen Escobar pitch a bit in spring training after giving him an opportunity to strengthen and lengthen out his arm over this winter?

Mike Pelfrey, Johan Santana, Tim Redding, John Maine and Oliver Perez led the Mets in starts last season. It's difficult to find any postives with that groups outside of Santana. Sure, Maine has some promise and Nelson Figueroa provided some decent innings last season.

The Mets are probably going into spring training with Santana, Figueroa, Maine, Pelfrey/Perez and a free agent signing (Joel Piniero?) as their expected starters. That's better than what they had last season, but it's definitely not enough to match the Phillies or Braves or Marlins in the division.

General manager Omar Minaya should've come into this offseason hoping to add a couple of quality starters to slot behind Santana. Instead, he let John Lackey slip to the Red Sox and is having to fight over whatever is left.

If healthy, Escobar would slip into the front of next season's expected rotation. If the Mets want to bring him along slowly because of his past shoulder issues, they could. The beginning of the season is loaded with plenty of off-days, which would allow Escobar extra rest before the grind of the season began.

He's had success in the American League as a starting pitcher and pitching at Citi Field, with its relatively pitcher friendly conditions, would be even better. This is an experiment the Mets should've tried but failed to do.



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Lackey potentially taking physical for Red Sox
Written by Daniel Paulling (Contact & Archive) on December 14, 2009   

John Lackey is reportedly taking a physical for the Boston Red Sox, ESPN.com writes.

No deal has been finalized, but a source told ESPN.com that the sides are working on a contract. The simple fact that he is in Boston shows the gravity of Boston's interest, as a physical would be required before any deal was official.

The news comes as a surprise in Boston, as Lackey had not been prominently mentioned as a potential Red Sox target in recent rumors.

Lackey is widely considered the No. 1 free agent pitcher on the market and is a necessity for a Red Sox team looking to catch the New York Yankees in the American League East.

This suggests the Red Sox won't be going hard after outfielder Jason Bay, to whom they reportedly offered a four-year, $60 million contract. Bay rejected the offer.

This also suggests the Red Sox are wising up when it comes to their financial power. The team signed rehab projects John Smoltz and Brad Penny last offseason. The moves made sense, but a team with as much money as the Red Sox needs to spend it.

How does this impact Roy Halladay's future? Let's hear your comments.



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The impact of Marvin Miller
Written by Bjoern Hartig (Contact & Archive) on December 09, 2009   

At Baseball Analysts Sky Andrecheck gives a unusual perspective on the impact of former players' union head Marvin Miller:

There's no question that Miller made a positive contribution to players' wallets. Before free agency in 1975, the average major league salary was $45,000 - today the average player makes $3,260,000. ... But baseball doesn't exist for the players - it exists for the fans.

And the advent of free agency has had questionable consequences for fans of the game. ... Before Miller came upon the scene, there had been zero work stoppages. After he was elected head of the MLBPA in 1966, we have seen strikes or lockouts in 1972, 1973, 1976, 1980, 1981, 1985, 1990, and 1994, five of which came under Miller's guidance which lasted until 1982.

... While players' wallets got a boost, their reputations took a hit. In the pre-Miller era, the greedy prima donna athlete stereotype so ubiquitous today did not exist. Nor did fans boo their former heroes for bolting town for the highest offer once they became free agents. Back in 1966, athletes of all stripes seemed to share more with the common man than the fat cats in the owners boxes. Today, fans are more inclined to view them as one in the same.

In an alternate, Miller-less world, A-Rod would perhaps be toasting his longtime teammates Ken Griffey and Randy Johnson in Seattle on another World Series title, with all three enjoying the same kind of local working-man's hero status that players like Ted Williams and Ernie Banks used to share. ...

Well worth a read!


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Granderson to the Yankees
Written by Bjoern Hartig (Contact & Archive) on December 09, 2009   

Everybody is talking about the first big deal of the offseason. Curtis Granderson to the Yankees, Edwin Jackson and Ian Kennedy to the Diamondbacks and Max Scherzer, Phil Coke, Daniel Schlereth and Austin Jackson to the Tigers.

Everybody seems to love the deal for the Yankees, but I'm not so sure. Granderson has posted a .780 OPS last year, his defense has apparently slipped and he was just 20 for 26 on the basepath. Don't get me wrong, he is a pretty good player, better than Johnny Damon, but not by much. And giving Austin Jackson away might hurt their chances to get Halladay, if they really want to keep him away from the Red Sox.

I love the deal for the Tigers though. Scherzer is cheaper and possibly even better than Jackson and they get arms for their pen, something they really needed.

For the D'Backs, that trade only makes sense if they are absolutely sure that Kennedy will be 100% after his surgery and this 100% is good enough to pitch in the Majors. So far, Kennedy has a 6.03 ERA in nearly 60 innings. Of course, Kennedy will turn only 25 in a few days, but Arizona has to have a lot of faith in him to justify switching Scherzer with Jackson.



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White Sox sign Teahen to 3-year contract
Written by Bjoern Hartig (Contact & Archive) on December 08, 2009   

The White Sox have just signed Mark Teahen to a three year, $14 million contract.

I just have one question: Why? Teahen owns a career .749 OPS (slightly worse the last two years), is 28 years old and unlikely to get much better all of a sudden. That's all fine if he plays second, but the White Sox have him listed as a third baseman and allegedly plan to play him at first. Can they not find someone who is better and costs less? I mean Teahen is pretty much a replacement level player at the corners. This is beyond me.

 



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